Winter 2022-23 was colder and drier than normal

Meteorological winter is from December 1 to February 28.  Winter 2022-23 was colder and drier than normal.  

The mean temperature at Victoria Gonzales this past winter was 4.9 degrees C, compared with the 30-year average of 5.8 C.  The average daily maximum temperature was 7.0 C (versus normal 7.9 C), while the average daily minimum was 2.8 C (versus the normal 3.7 C).  December was much colder than average.  January was slightly milder than average, while February was colder than average.

The chart below shows the daily maximum and minimum temperatures at Victoria Gonzales during winter 2022-23, compared with the 30-year averages.  The cold snap in late December really stands out, with temperatures far below normal. The temperature dropped as low as -9.5 C on December 22, the second December in a row with a very strong cold snap and very low temperatures. January temperatures were a bit above normal, but February temperatures once more fell below normal.

Daily Max & Min temps vs 30-yr normal, Winter 2022-23

Winter 2022-23 was drier than normal, with 197 mm of precipitation versus the normal of 266 mm. Precipitation was a bit above normal in December (114 mm vs. 98 mm), but January was very dry (26.3 mm vs. normal 104.3 mm), and February was also slightly drier than normal (57.1 mm vs. normal 63.5 mm).

The chart below shows daily precipitation during winter 2022-23, and compares the cumulative precipitation with the 30-year average.  Precipitation tracked close to average during the first part of the winter, but fell below average in January.  

Winter 2022-23 was also much snowier than normal.  There was 41 cm of snow compared with the normal 14 cm.  Nearly all of the snow (37 cm) fell in December.  

Victoria's weather in 2022

 

After a year of extremes in 2021 (including the hottest temperature on record and the most annual precipitation on record), 2022 was not quite so extreme.

The mean temperature for 2022 (10.5 C) was slightly below the 30-year average of 10.7 C, while the annual precipitation of 658.5 mm was very close to the average of 656 mm.

Victoria experienced the warmest late summer/early fall on record in 2022.  August and October were both the warmest on record, while September was the second warmest. Overall, the August to October period was 1.7 degrees warmer than the 30-year average.  

March, June, and July were slightly above normal.  The remaining six months were all below normal temperatures.  In particular, April-May was 1.8 degrees below normal and November-December was 2.1 degrees below normal, making for a cold spring and a very cold late fall/early winter.

The hottest temperature of 2022 was 30.9 degrees on June 26.  There were 2 days in 2022 with daily maximums above 30 C, compared with the normal of 1.1 days.  There were 18 days with daily maximums above 25 degrees, double the average of 9.1 days.    

The coldest temperature of 2022 was -9.5 C on December 21.  For the second winter in a row, Victoria experienced a significant cold snap in 2022, with 4 consecutive days below freezing.  Prior to 2021, Victoria hadn't experienced such a long cold snap for 36 years (since November 1985).  There were 19 days in 2022 when the temperature went below 0, significantly higher than the long-term average of 9.5 days, and the most since 1996.  Of those days when temperatures dropped below freezing, 12 occurred in November and December.

The chart below shows the daily maximum and minimum temperatures at Victoria Gonzales in 2022, compared with the long-term normal temperatures.  The chart shows a cold snap in late February, and the cool spring, with highs consistently below normal from mid-April to the end of May.  This was followed by a short heat wave in late June, then fairly consistently above-average temperatures from August to October.  There was an abrupt shift to below normal temperatures in November and December, culminating in the severe cold snap in late December.

The chart below shows daily and cumulative precipitation at Victoria Gonzales for 2022.   The thing that really stands out is the extraordinary 3-month dry spell from July 19 to October 20. During that period there was just 0.6 mm of rain recorded at Victoria Gonzales, making it the driest 3-month period on record, not just for Victoria, but likely for any major Canadian city.  The remainder of the year saw 3 wet periods (October 21-November 8, November 22-30, and December 17-31).  These were separated by two unusually dry spells for what is typically the wettest time of year in Victoria: just 2 mm of rain over weeks from November 9-21 and just 12 mm during the first half of December.

There were 124 days with measurable precipitation in 2022, compared with the normal of 132 days.  The wettest day was October 30th, with 40.6 mm of rain.  There were 4 days with more than 25 mm of rain in 2022, a little above the average of 2.9 days annually.  

The chart below compares annual precipitation at Victoria Gonzales in 2022 with other locations in the region.  Thanks to its rainshadow location, Victoria is typically drier than most other locations, and that was the case once again in 2022.  However, while Victoria's annual precipitation was close to the 30-year average, it was below average at the Victoria Airport (90% of normal) and Vancouver (89% of normal), but slightly above normal in Seattle (103% of normal).  

2022 Annual Precipitation vs normal

Victoria received 54 cm of snow in 2022, more than triple the average of 16 cm, and the most snow in a calendar year since 1996.  (2021, with 44 cm of snow, was the second snowiest year in Victoria since 1996.) 

An extraordinary drought

 Victoria is known for its summer droughts.  It is the driest major city in Canada - by far - during the summer months, with an average of 47 mm of rain during June to August combined.  It is also common to get long stretches with little or no rainfall during the summer.  On average, Victoria gets 31 consecutive days with no measurable rainfall each summer, and 42 consecutive days with less than 1 mm of rainfall.

However, the past three months have really been extraordinary.  From July 19 to October 20 - a period of 94 days - there have only been 3 days each with just a barely measurable 0.2 mm of rain (August 10, September 4, and September 28) at Victoria Gonzales.  That's a total of just 0.6 mm of rain in the past 3 months!  The nearby weather station at the University of Victoria has been even drier, with just 0.4 mm of rain over the same period.

This has been the driest 90-day period ever recorded at Victoria Gonzales, as shown in the chart below, easily beating the old record of 2.8 mm, from May 25 to August 22, 1951.  Note that most of these record dry periods tend to be centered on July and August, the two driest months in Victoria.  However, 3 of the 11 driest periods, include this year's, have extended into mid-October.

This record-breaking drought has not just impacted Victoria; it has affected all of southwestern B.C.  The chart below shows the total rainfall for various locations in southern B.C. over the past 3 months. As is often the case, Victoria has been the driest location, but most locations have been extraordinarily dry.  Keep in mind, that normal rainfall during this period is 91 mm at Victoria Gonzales and 231 mm at Vancouver Harbour.  

Not only has this period been the driest 3-month period ever recorded in Victoria (with 120 years of record-keeping at Victoria Gonzales), but it is also likely the driest 3-month period ever recorded in any major Canadian city.  The driest 3-month period ever recorded for some other Canadian cities includes 1.3 mm for Edmonton, 2.9 mm for Calgary, 6.1 mm for Vancouver Airport, and 37.9 mm for Toronto

In addition to being dry, it has also been a very warm 3 months.  The chart below shows the daily maximum and minimum temperatures at Victoria Gonzales during the drought period (July 19 to October 19), compared with the 30-year average.  With just a few exceptions, temperatures have been above normal.  The average daily maximum temperature for the period was 21.3 C -  nearly 3 degrees above the historical average of 18.4 C.  In addition, the average daily maximum temperature for the period in 2022 (21.3 C) is more than 1 degree warmer than the previous highest average maximum of 20.1 C for the same period in 1998.

Victoria Gonzales Daily Max & Min vs. normal